MUMBAI: BJP likely to win 110 seats in Rajasthan; ruling Congress to slide to 73: ABP News-Nielsen exit poll.

BJP is projected to win 110 seats of the total 200 in Rajasthan assembly polls, as per the exit poll conducted by ABP News-Nielsen. While the ruling Congress would manage 73 seats, it has projected. The Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) would get only one seat, and the other parties 16 seats.

According to the exit poll, BJP is projected to get a vote share of 38 per cent with 110 seats. Congress likely to get a vote share of 34 per cent with 34 seats. In 2008, the Congress had won 96 seats, the BJP 78, BSP six and others 20 seats. 

The exit poll was conducted by ABP News-Nielsen on 2nd and 3rd of December, 2013 with 22755 respondents. The confidence interval (margin of error) assumed for vote share prediction lies in the ranges of ±5%.

ABP News-Nielsen Exit Poll -Chhattisgarh
Hung assembly likely in Chhattisgarh, neck-to-neck fight between BJP and Congress: ABP News-Nielsen exit poll

Chhattisgarh would see a hung assembly, according to the ABP News-Nielsen exit poll projections of the assembly elections. There is a close battle between BJP and Congress. The ruling BJP is likely to be short of simple majority. The BJP is projected to win 43 of the total 90 seats. The Congress is likely to win 42 seats.

As per the exit poll, BJP likely to get a vote share of 41 per cent with Congress following a close 40 per cent. In 2008, the BJP had won 49 seats, Congress 39 seats, and others two seats.
There are about 15 seats which are being won by a narrow margin of 2%. At least 5 out of these 15 seats could impact the final outcome. As per the poll there could be two scenarios:

1. If the 5 seats go in favour of BJP: The ruling party might get around 48 seats, Congress 38 and others 4.

2. If the 5 seats go in favour of Congress: BJP likely to get 40 seats and Congress 46 seats.
The exit poll was conducted by ABP News-Nielsen on 12th November for Phase 1 and 20th – 21st November, 2013 for Phase 2 of voting with 11012 respondents. The confidence interval (margin of error) assumed for vote share prediction lies in the ranges of ±5%.