|
Now
we at the News Broadcasters Association have formed a committee
and are drafting a code which we would like to abide by. That,
I should say, is a positive development, because the government
has seen the need to let us develop our own code. A similar
code is now being developed for the entertainment channels
by the Indian Broadcast Foundation.
As
far as the Broadcast Regulation Bill is concerned, the government
tried to say that it would be one single, umbrella enactment
that would hold every possible regulation that governs the
media, Uplinking Guidelines, Downlinking Guidelines, Cable
Act and all the others that the government has come out with
in the past.
But
there were protests, not only from us but also from our brothers
in the print media, from the Indian Newspaper Society. The
government is nobody to give us a regulation. The only regulation
that could be followed would come from the industry. The government
said also that it would appoint a regulatory authority for
broadcasting and this too was unacceptable.
The
government argued that they appoint Supreme Court judges as
well. But we feel that this was not an appropriate analogy.
The fact is that in judiciary, there is independence enshrined
from the beginning of jurisprudence in this country. That
is a system decades and decades old. But the industry of private
TV news media is just 10 years old.
So,
there will be a content code which we shall bring out, but
the regulatory authority may not see the light of day in the
near future, certainly not in the next 12 months. We have
said that this needs to be debated and taken to all corners
of the country, so it is not possible to do so in a short
time.
Another
crucial development was that Cas was introduced from January
(2007), in select pockets of the four metros, and it was a
disappointing experience. There were problems in terms of
number of boxes seeded, with the number of boxes available
and so on. That could be an indicator of what might happen
when it is extended to the rest of the towns.
Cas
was introduced from January, in select pockets of the
four metros, and it was a disappointing experience
_____****_____ |
But
I think it is bound to happen, if not in two years then in
five years. It is impossible for the television viewer to
watch 500 channels in the analogue mode. So they would have
to go digital. What is more important is that Cas or DTH is
addressable, so ultimately the broadcasting industry, the
broadcasters as well as the cable operators would go for digitalisation.
Also, 2007 has been a good year in terms of DTH. TataSky was
launched, and Dish TV in any case was already there. They
have very good numbers of subscribers.
The
fact is that anything in this country takes a long time to
take off. When mobiles came seven or eight years ago, the
estimate was that by 2010, we would reach something like 10
to 12 million. Today we have 200 million, and are seeing seven
million mobile phones being added every month! So it takes
time in this country for things to catch on, and the same
will be the case with Cas. And as in the case of mobile, the
costs will also come down. So eventually it will happen, and
when it does, the market will be huge.
We
have today 120 million television homes, out of which 70 million
are on cable and satellite. And if you take roughly five viewers
per home the figure comes to something like 300 million, which
makes it equal to the entire populations of United States
and Canada put together. So it is a massive market, though
at this moment we are reaching out to only one-third of it.
If
you look at advertisement spends by companies, it is something
like 0.45 per cent of the GDP, whereas the global average
is close to about 1.5 per cent. I am sure we can take it to
1.5 per cent of our GDP. That could give you an idea what
it will mean in terms of revenues to everyone down the line,
broadcasters to LCOs.
So
there is a huge upside of the story. Even today in India the
ratio of advertisement spends between print and television
is 60/40, whereas worldwide it is 50/50. Hence, I feel this
is a good time for the media business.
|