Television

ABP News-CSDS surveys castes' intent: Pro-incumbency sentiment prevails in Gujarat

http://www.indiantelevision.com/sites/default/files/styles/smartcrop_800x800/public/images/tv-images/2017/09/01/kbm.jpg?itok=6bZwjW2W

MUMBAI: It’s going to take no less than a gargantuan effort on the part of the Congress party to defeat the Bharatiya Janata Party in the Gujarat Assembly elections due to take place at the end of the year. An opinion poll conducted in the state by Lokniti-CSDS for ABP News, finds the ruling BJP, which has been in power in Gujarat for the last two decades, to be way ahead of the Congress.

BJP seems to gain over last assembly elections held in 2012 under the leadership of then Chief Minister Narendra Modi. Like in other parts of India, Congress in losing out base in Gujarat as well. According to the opinion poll BJP is expected to get close to 150 seats in 182 member assembly.

As things stand right now, the upcoming election of Gujarat appears like a ‘no-contest’ with the BJP leading its arch-rival by over 30 percentage points in terms of people’s voting intention. Close to three in every five (59 per cent) randomly sampled voters said that they would vote for the BJP if state elections were to take place now. Only about one in three (29 per cent) were found to be rooting for the Congress. This means that the BJP has thus far managed to retain the level of support it received in the 2014 Lok Sabha election and the Congress slid.

According to the poll, BJP’s sweep is witnessed all over Gujarat and in all regions of the state. Best performance is in Saurashtra and Kutch regions where BJP is expected to get 65 percent votes against Congress’s 26 percent votes. *Source: Lokniti-CSDS Gujarat Pre-election Tracker Survey 2017, Round 1.

In fact, at the moment, there seems to be no major challenger to Vijay Rupani for the position of the chief minister within or outside the BJP. In response to an open-ended question on chief ministerial preference, 24 percent of the voters said they would like to see Rupani back at the helm whereas most of the voters took no name.

The survey found a sentiment of pro-incumbency to be prevailing in Gujarat. In Kutch and Saurashtra about 54 per cent feel the present BJP government should continue.

Contrary to popular analysis, the recent agitation by some Patel leaders demanding OBC status does not seem to have dented the BJP’s popularity among its voters, the Patels. With nearly three in every four voters belonging to the dominant community, they are still supporting the party. Other than holding on to its core voters, the BJP seems to have also made some serious inroads among the old voting bloc of the Congress - Kshatriyas, Dalits, Tribals and Muslims - politically known as KHAM.

Voting intentions of castes and communities: BJP consolidates base and makes gains.

public://abp.jpg

About 70 percent of the voters said they were satisfied with the performance of the State BJP government during the last five years. Though as the survey suggests, the percentage of satisfied respondents is high  although it has dropped from 77 percent to 69 percent  somewhat since last survey in May.

According to the survey, the prime minister Narendra Modi’s already high popularity in the state has grown further over the last four years. In the state he ruled for three terms, he is the most liked leader at 82 per cent, followed by with ruling CM Rupani at 73 per cent. While the star of Patidar Andolan, Hardik Patel happens to be the most disliked at 46 per cent.

As per the survey, one in every five Congress voters sympathizes with Vaghela and nearly half refused to take a position on the Vaghela issue. Around 20 per cent Congress voters believe he rightly moved out of the party which disrespected him. Whereas 34 per cent voters of Congress feel that he betrayed the party just before the polls.

According to the survey, most voters were found to be highly supportive of both demonetization (55 percent) and the introduction of the Goods and Services Tax (GST – 38 percent), and also quite satisfied with the way they were implemented.

public://KBM_LOGO_ABP LOGO copy.jpg

This analysis is based on the first round of the pre-election tracker survey conducted in Gujarat by Lokniti, Centre for the Study of Developing Societies (CSDS), Delhi, for ABP News. The survey was conducted from 9 August through 16 August, 2017 among 4090 voters in 200 locations (polling stations) spread across 50 assembly constituencies (the State has a total of 182 assembly constituencies).

Latest Reads

http://www.indiantelevision.com/sites/default/files/styles/340x340/public/images/tv-images/2019/02/21/newsx.jpg?itok=5W-k085G
NewsX special weekend shows – 23rd & 24th february

This weekend on NewsX, India’s leading English news channel, NewsX The Sunday Guardian-The Roundtable will cover the key issues before the 2019 general elections

Television TV Channels News Broadcasting
http://www.indiantelevision.com/sites/default/files/styles/340x340/public/images/tv-images/2019/02/21/history.jpg?itok=2MlJ780a
History TV18 set to premiere new unscripted series ‘Road Hauks’

History TV18 has planned to come up with a new unscripted series Road Hauks, taking the inspiration from American designs, which will be premiering on 23 February at 6 pm.

Television TV Channels Specialised and Niche
http://www.indiantelevision.com/sites/default/files/styles/340x340/public/images/tv-images/2019/02/21/jl.jpg?itok=hVxBkgiw
Johnny Lever to judge the comedy show ‘Ek Tappa Out’ on STAR PRAVAH

Johnny Lever to judge the comedy show ‘Ek Tappa Out’ on STAR PRAVAH.

Television TV Channels GECs
http://www.indiantelevision.com/sites/default/files/styles/340x340/public/images/tv-images/2019/02/21/BARC.jpg?itok=8OHXWahJ
BARC exhorts TRAI to strengthen existing TV audience measurement system

Broadcast Audience Research Council India (BARC), the country’s premier TV audience data measurer, has suggested to the Indian regulator Telecom Regulatory Authority of India (TRAI) that having more multiple measurement and ratings mechanisms may not be “advisable” and could create confusion....

Television TV Channels Viewership
http://www.indiantelevision.com/sites/default/files/styles/340x340/public/images/tv-images/2019/02/21/aaj.jpg?itok=k81Gn7OT
Most watched Hindi news channels in 2018

News is event driven – that is a fact that is known and repeated a dozen times and more by all publications, newsletters, and whatnots.  As per a Broadcast Audience Research Council of India (BARC) report presented at FICCI-Frames 2018, Hindi content still rules the Indian television landscape in...

Television TV Channels Viewership
http://www.indiantelevision.com/sites/default/files/styles/340x340/public/images/tv-images/2019/02/20/big.jpg?itok=k7-mTi1Q
Big Synergy appoints Simmi Karna to produce fiction series for OTT, TV

Anil D Ambani-owned Reliance Entertainment's Big Synergy, a content creation and production company, is powering its fiction content team and has appointed Simmi Karna to produce fiction series for OTT and broadcasters.

Television Production House Fiction
http://www.indiantelevision.com/sites/default/files/styles/340x340/public/images/tv-images/2019/02/20/kc.jpg?itok=6xwLc11l
An afternoon of Food, Family and Fun - COLORS’ presents ‘Kitchen Champion’

A culinary experience like no other, COLORS is here to take viewers on a flavourful journey through its newest offering in the afternoon slot, ‘Kitchen Champion.

Television TV Channels GECs
http://www.indiantelevision.com/sites/default/files/styles/340x340/public/images/tv-images/2019/02/20/krishna.jpg?itok=puHo88-e
&TV’s Paramavatar Shri Krishna stands tall at Kumbh Mela 2019

Celebrating the spirit of the Hindu legends and the holy river of the Ganges, the ongoing Ardh Kumbh at Prayagraj is seeing over millions of pilgrims currently.

Television TV Channels GECs
http://www.indiantelevision.com/sites/default/files/styles/340x340/public/images/tv-images/2019/02/20/ipl.jpg?itok=67yPOP-U
GEC, regional channels' viewership to dip further this year due to IPL, Elections

This summer, India is set to witness two major events, the Indian Premier League (IPL) and the much awaited General Elections, clash for votes and viewership. For the broadcast industry, those with general entertainment channels (GECs) are likely to see even further dip in eyeballs because of this.

Television TV Channels Viewership

Latest News

Load More

Sign up for our Newsletter

subscribe for latest stories