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The
television, ad and allied industries swear by them, swear
at them, but cannot do without them.
Televison ratings, indispensable to the media world when
it comes to evaluating, predicting and shaping schedules
of what's to appear on the small screen, are a contentious
issue not restricted to our shores, it seems.
While the unseemly fracas over the authenticity of the TAM
and Intam ratings last September shook the industry out
of somnolence, it also brought home the realization that
intrinsic biases and a lack of alternatives will continue
to be around for some time at least. Recent reports emanating
from Britain and Australia are but images of the controversy
that erupted in India and indicators of what is to be expected
when the country switches to a single ratings system by
mid 2002.
Britain faces barbs
A recent shakeup of the measurement system in operation
in Britain for the last 10 years has spurred the media there
into some heavy-duty criticism. The Broadcasters' Audience
Research Board (Barb) figures, the ratings currency in the
UK, were not released for the first week of January 2002
and teething problems with a new ratings system are likely
to take some more weeks to settle down. The number of volunteers,
say media reports emanating from the country, is not keeping
pace with the almost exponential growth in the choice of
what to watch. Each volunteer consequently represents 12,000
of the country's population. "Since Barb is really not much
more than a shell, effectively controlled by well-established
broadcasters, it has little incentive to change for the
benefit of newer, smaller television companies. Nor would
all the media buyers and advertisers and data-analysing
firms that have prospered under Barb welcome the disruption
a truly new system would bring," alleges a report in the
Media Guardian.
The worst fear is that TV ratings will plummet because of
the different measurement system. Ten years ago - the last
time the Barb system was adjusted - it took weeks to settle
down. And Rajar, the radio audience ratings system, suffered
major discrepancies when it changed its methods in 1995.
Figures for the final quarter of that year had to be weighted
to produce results comparable with previous quarters, after
some stations apparently mislaid up to one million listeners.
The key difference with the new Barb system, say reports,
is in the panel, which consists of 5,300 new homes - 600
more than the last panel. Members of the panel have been
changed in the past but this is the first time in more than
30 years that the entire panel has been built from scratch.
The new Barb panel has been signed up in the last few months
and Barb is hoping it will be more geographically and demographically
representative. However, parallel tests in December showed
that while overall weekly reach remained the same, total
viewing hours were around five per cent lower on the new
panel.
Media reports trace the roots of this situation to the mid-80s,
when the launch of Channel 4 and Sky, relentless Conservative
questioning of the BBC licence fee, and the reorganisation
of ITV as a more commercially aggressive entity, made ratings
into a more competitive, even political issue.
During the early 90s, the creation of further channels,
and the arrival of league tables as a way of judging all
sorts of British activities, cemented the perceived importance
of audience numbers. The media's enthusiasm for self-analysis
did the rest. In their new avatar, dissected and analysed
ratings - how many people saw a programme, and what proportion
they formed of the total television audience at the time
- are measured on a minute-by-minute basis, to be collected
and digested overnight.
Audience monitoring in the UK, however, goes back to 1936
when the BBC began conducting audience surveys. Its main
purpose, in the high-minded spirit of the corporation at
the time, was not to count listeners or viewers but to see
what they thought about the programmes. Volunteers kept
diaries of their broadcasting consumption and sent them
in periodically; from these, a precise Appreciation Index(AI)
was collated for every programme. These scores were then
privately circulated to the delight or otherwise of those
involved. The flaw in this process was that, as a poor programme
shed viewers, it was sometimes left with a small but fiercely
loyal core of fans, who would give it an inflated AI.
However, commercial television's debut in 1955 necessitated
a different kind of information. "Advertisers were terrified
that people would not stay with the commercial break, that
they would go and put the teapot on," says Richard Platt,
a veteran media buyer and broadcaster. The frequent, nervy
measurement of audience totals began at this moment.
For the next quarter of a century, these two ratings philosophies
ran in parallel. In 1976, the Annan committee on the future
of broadcasting recommended a single ratings system. In
1981, Barb finally began functioning. Barb itself is a limited
company, jointly owned by the BBC, ITV, Channel 4, Channel
5, BSkyB and the Institute of Practitioners in Advertising.
The Barb system, appropriately for a television-soaked culture,
was then more probing than in any other country. Within
a few years, though, British viewing had started to fragment.
Channel 4 had been founded, and video recorders had become
cheap and popular. There was a protracted controversy about
whether and how programmes watched days after their broadcast
should be counted. Satellite and cable television further
complicated Barb's task. Throughout the 80s and 90s it tried
to keep up by updating its black boxes and widening its
panel of viewers.
Despite all intentions, however, its veracity has continued
to remain suspect.
All's not well in Ozland either
Down Under, meanwhile, it's a problem of a slightly different
nature. A year after the inauspicious debut of the OzTAM
television ratings system, rival broadcasters are still
fighting it out trying to get the message across that it
is they who are in the right.
The OzTAM system was introduced in January 2001 after AC
Nielsen was dumped as the official TV audience measurement
supplier and replaced by Australian Television Research(ATR).
Figures provided by OzTAM, ATR's ratings administrator which
is jointly owned by the commercial networks, showed that
top-rating network Kerry Packer's Channel Nine's grip on
the number one spot was being loosened by Channel Seven.
The conflict reached a climax six months after the new system's
introduction when a furious Nine called for an independent
audit of it. The report by New Zealand Professor Peter Danaher
gave neither system a clean bill of health, identifying
glitches in the data from both incumbent OzTAM and the old
AC Nielsen. While OzTAM's data favoured a younger audience,
ACNielsen's data was clearly skewed towards an older audience,
traditionally Nine's domain.
Nine continued using parallel ratings from AC Nielsen until
its ratings swung around, allowing it to retain the No.1
position for the year, although Seven and Ten had narrowed
the gap.
One could draw parallels here to the declaration by Zee
Telefilms earlier and endorsed by Sony Entertainment Television
that they are delinking their ad rates from rating points.
Pointing to the emergence of a Star-led, unipolar system,
Sony Entertainment CEO Kunal Dasgupta has been quoted as
saying the advertising world must accept some currency other
than TRPs.
Coming back to the case of Nine, although the storm clouds
have dissipated and the Kerry Packer-promoted network has
been conspicuously silent since its early criticisms, the
transition has left it battle-weary. With everyone twisting
their figures to suit their sales pitches during the annual
rate negotiations, it seems every commercial broadcaster
emerged a winner in 2001.
With more than $2 billion worth of television advertising
dollars at stake, it is no wonder all the networks issued
a weighty analysis of the figures tailored to put them in
the best light.
OzTAM chief executive Louise McCann concedes that last year
was one of the toughest in her 22-year career in television.
She weathered a storm of much publicised attacks by Nine,
which complained that OzTAM's data favoured a younger audience,
an assumption confirmed by Dr Danaher. However, he also
identified deficiencies in ACNielsen's data, describing
the panel as tired and skewed towards an older audience,
which is traditionally Nine's domain. Dr Danaher recommended
several modifications to the panel of 9000 viewers in Melbourne,
Sydney, Brisbane, Adelaide and Perth, and these have been
made.
Nine Melbourne managing director Graeme Yarwood too conceded
that the transition last year had been extremely difficult,
particularly at a time when the advertising market had started
to shrink.
Similar turbulent times lie ahead as the two ratings agencies
ORG MARG's Intam and AC Nielsen's TAM prepare to create
a new service mid-2002. Will a similar shake up be inevitable
in the proposed TAM-INTAM merger? Watch this space for updates.
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