| Interview with director solutions,
NDS Asia Pacific, James Field |
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"Around
the world, successful pay TV operators give away the STB"
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| Posted
on 21 October 2003 |
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You
have to give it to the Hong Kong-based James Field, director solutions,
NDS Asia Pacific. Field might be staring at another tough assignment
as he looks to push the conditional access solutions products that
News Corp's technology arm has on offer in India, but he is convinced
that this is the right time to be here.
Despite
the sorry state that the conditional access system (CAS) rollout
is in at present, Field believes that there is an opportunity waiting
to be tapped. Brave words at a time when no one can claim to have
a handle on how CAS will roll out in India.
He
stresses that NDS' commitment to India is borne out by the fact
that there is a 100-strong team in the Bangalore office working
on solutions customised to local requirements.
Field,
who is not new to India - having co-ordinated Star India's failed
bid in 1997 to launch direct-to-home (DTH) operations in the country
- met up with indiantelevision.com to offer an overview of the immense
possibilities that he believes CAS offers:
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What
are the products NDS is offering in the Indian market?
Our cornerstone product is the NDS open Videoguard CAS (includes
the smartcards), which is available in cable, terrestrial, satellite
and IP. We are a clear world leader there.
CAS
on its own isn't enough, so we offer consultancy/ integration services
to help customers choose from the wide variety of implementations
and help match up their launch plans with the partners they have
chosen.
Then
there is the set-top box (STB) middleware and the EPG (electronic
programming guide). EPG is an application that runs on the STB that
I regard as the most complicated application, because it is the
store front for new services to come up.
Whether
it is TV services, PPV services or interactive services, the EPG
is a shop window. We are again one of the world's leading EPG producers
on multiple platforms with different languages.
Another
area is games. Even a low-end STB like the Hathway box is capable
of running games, if they choose to do so in future.
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At
this point, where do you stand as far as active paid subscribers
are concerned?
In
Asia we are at the two million mark. We are a leader globally as
well.
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And in India?
We only count people who are actively subscribing. Therefore, in
India it would tally with the thousands of CAS subscribers that
Hathway has at present (around 4,000 to 5,000 in Chennai, 1,200
in Delhi, 600-700 in Mumbai, according to information available
with indiantelevision.com).
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Considering the poor penetration of CAS due to the myriad problems
here, there are talks that the way forward could be to offer it
as a premium product. Do you see CAS pushing ahead as a cream offering?
If we take the mobile phone analogy, when it was first launched,
it was a cream product. India is large enough and has enough people
who can afford to pay, to make that kind of business model work.
However, for true return on investment, you need to have mass market
penetration.
So
while CAS can be offered as a premium product, the only way to truly
get the revenue back and build your business is to address not just
cream, but the whole way down - cream to vanilla - and offer a scalable
service that can match the ability to pay of all the potential subscribers.
Around
the world, successful pay TV operators essentially give away the
STBs. It (the box) is something you need to get into the consumers'
homes in order to sell them the services.
In
India, we're not seeing that yet and I think the first operator
that makes that kind of move is the one who's going to put it (CAS)
in hand.
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| "While
CAS can be offered as a premium product, the only way to truly
get revenue back is to address not just cream, but the whole
way down - cream to vanilla" |
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That's
not an idea that will go down too well with the multi-system operators
(MSO).
Of course you're not going to give things away unless there are
some returns. And the whole prospect of subscription television
is really that you have to spend some money to acquire the customer
- either marketing, or physical hardware or installation.
Once you've got them, you want to keep them happy. And you want
to then see if it's possible to extract more annual revenues per
user. And that's just an average across the whole group (of subscribers).
So introduction of CAS will mean that people who don't want to pay
Rs 150 today could pay Rs 75 plus tax. Whereas those who can afford
to pay more are offered more choice.
For
instance a subscriber might take the basic package of just the FTA
services and still enjoy a better quality of transmission, EPG,
email and other services. You might be a cricket fan, but might
still say you don't want to pay for the full cricket package because
it's too expensive, and you might just buy the final.
CAS
gives you the opportunity - if the agreements are in place with
the operators - to just package an event and sell it to you.
From
the operators' perspective, they get a little bit of extra revenue.
The subscriber is happy too, so it is a win-win situation.
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Speaking
as a consumer, I'm getting these 100 channels at this price. Why should
I stress myself with CAS and its fallout?
That's where the political element is coming in. If it is taken away
they (the subscribers) will complain. We've seen this in other markets
in Asia. |
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Is
there a parallel that you can draw from other markets in the region?
I'm looking at Taiwan, for instance. |
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| "Once
you've got them, you want to keep them happy. And you want to
then see if it's possible to extract more annual revenues per
user" |
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But
Taiwan has almost 80 per cent cable penetration so where's the parallel?
It's 80-85 per cent cable, but television is regarded as a utility,
like water or electricity. So local governments have set a limit on
the maximum amounts that people can pay. |
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So
you can't charge more?
You can't charge above a certain amount. |
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Which
is exactly what people here are saying. That there should be a ceiling
on rates.
In Taiwan, what the MSOs that have invested in digital are saying
to the government is that, they want to charge more to capitalise
on that investment.
People
who are willing to pay more, may pay more and get more. There's
freedom of choice. So there are some parallels to be drawn.
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And
what is the situation in other Asian markets?
Other markets have different challenges. China for instance, has less
freedom of programming. So they're looking at interactivity as a way
of moving forward - they are providing things like stock information
services, where consumers can see value in buying the box. Here it
becomes more than just a gateway for television services but provides
additional useful services for education, information - a sort of
home hub.
It
doesn't have to be just television. In Korea, for instance, the
government has a plan for government services provided through digital
television. Users or subscribers get access to civic information,
health groups, etc. So it is more of an informative service.
There
are other countries in the world where utility bills are sent on
the screen through CAS. It saves on administrative costs.
Basically,
CAS provides a reliable gateway for a number of services that can
be customised to local requirements. Therefore, CAS is more than
just a device that makes television more entertaining and informative.
It's a kind of snowball that gathers pace as it goes along.
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"The
best thing for NDS would be for a systems operator to decide
that they're going to remove the fence and give the STBs away"
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So
it still boils down to getting the box moving, right?
Without this device in their homes, people don't know what it is.
It just seems like I have to pay more for what I get now. In reality
they're getting more choice, more quality, more services, and more
opportunities. This is not like a PC where you're expected to change
it every two years. It has the same life-cycle as a television.
And
because it's all based on open standards, in five years time you
can buy another STB at the same price point. It will give you more
menu, will have a hard disc in it, which means more power.
The
first STB then could well go into the children's room, which could
be used as a study tool for example. The advanced box could go into
the living room, with all the upgraded features.
Because
it's all standards based, they can interoperate. We have that operating
around the world, where they have six-year-old boxes that don't
do much more than a basic EPG and television. And we have others
that are doing these information services, return path. Then there
is another generation box, which has a hard disc in it that enables
people to pause live television and set up their own schedules.
With
all this, people watch more television than they did before, not
less - because it's more convenient for them. And I think this is
what all this is about. It doesn't mean you necessarily have less.
It means you have more by way of choice.
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You
don't have an issue with open standards? There's been this hue and
cry, especially around DTH, with opponents saying, "How can you
maintain open standards, it will lead to hacking
" and what
have you.
We are an open standards company. The main thing about open standards
is that operators have choice of vendors. If they're locked into one
vendor, then that's not good for their business.
We've
been working closely with the BIS (Bureau of Indian Standards),
and in the past with open standards bodies like DDB and Open Cable
in the US. To
make sure that not only are we adopting standards, we are also leading
partners in the adoption of standards. So we have things like the
common interface box, the removable CAS.
We
have customers that opt for removable CAS if they want to use it.
But from the consumer perspective, removable CAS costs money. For
the consumer as well as the operator, actually.
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| "CAS
provides a reliable gateway for a number of services that can
be customised to local requirements" |
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So
you're still bullish on CAS? I'll qualify that to cable driven CAS.
One would have thought that with all the problems surrounding its
rollout, the focus would shift to DTH, at least as far as serious
business opportunity is concerned.
I think the future of cable has to use CAS. Historically (in India),
if you look at the margins, the cash flow in the cable business
has been eroded - with more channels coming in and more channels
going pay. The free cash flow which cable ops enjoyed has been tailing
off, so if they want their business to continue they have to make
a change.
I think
it is an interesting phase in the industry. But in order to keep
the business going, you've got to have a circle, which enables the
money to flow to the right people. At the moment, it's like a leaking
water main. A precious resource is being lost so we need to look
at investing in a new pipe to go inside, which is going to get that
water to the right people, to make that resource work.
You
pointed out earlier that people see CAS as "it's going to cost
me a lot of money. I'm going to get less, I'll have to pay more
"
It doesn't necessarily have to be the case. But I think it needs
to be able to scale, to meet the desires of individuals and match
their expectations.
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What's
your formula for reducing barriers, perception-wise and cost-wise?
You've got to make the process easy. For a subscriber, the major decision
is to spend the money. It doesn't make sense for a subscriber who
has decided to spend the money if it takes him half an hour to fill
in the application.
So
you want to make it easy, reduce the financial barriers. Once they've
got the service they can choose what they want out of it.
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Do
you have any estimate of the per-subscriber price point at which this
might kickstart?
About $ 50 for the basic parts, and then there are the royalties and
surcharges which all add up to about $ 75 for a vanilla box.
That
is coming down but it is not going to halve or anything anytime
soon.
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| "CAS
gives you the opportunity - if the agreements are in place with
the operators - to just package an event and sell it" |
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That's
at your level as far as the box is concerned. I'm talking about the
consumer. For him it's a box-plus-subscription package. There must
be some ideation going around as to what is the possible way to get
out of the present gridlock situation. One is price...
Price, differentiation in programming, legislation. Consumer demand
is the key. It's push and pull, stick and carrot. |
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In
India, outside of Hathway for cable driven CAS and Star's Space TV
for DTH, do you have any other possible avenues to push your products?
There are other parties we are talking to who are in Phase 2 of CAS
(outside the four metros). But I think it's probably quite early at
the moment to talk of anything definite. |
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But
since the first cities that were supposed to usher in CAS are all
sitting on their hands as it were, you don't really have much to talk
about.
We feel that this blockage will move. |
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What
according to you will breach that block?
In December, there is the India-Australia cricket series. The assembly
elections will have been done with by then. The pay channels normally
raise their rates in January. The planets should be in alignment then.
So that's a test case.
We'll
be focussing on helping our customers generate pull from their subscribers
and give them services that they are willing to pay upfront for.
The
best thing for NDS would be for a systems operator (SO) to decide
that they're going to remove the fence and give the STBs away. That
would be an ideal situation for us as well as the STB vendor. Everyone
wants to make a product that someone buys from you and gives away.
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| "I
think that people can get stuck on the word CAS because of all
the negative connotations that have built up around it" |
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One
issue of concern in India is hacking. Even abroad hacking is reported
on an average of once a year, thereby requiring a systems upgrade.
In India, that would be an even bigger problem
You need to understand that hacking/piracy is a business. So pirates
still work on returns on investment. Typically, pirates are organised.
They work globally. So they may have to spend 100s of thousands, if
not millions of dollars to crack something, commercialise it and get
it out.
NDS,
as the number one provider in this business, is working proactively.
We have a group called the Operational Security Group of more than
20 people that work worldwide to monitor these activities. That's
part of the R&D activity.
We're
constantly working on our designs. We're the only CAS company that
designs chips. NDS uses unique technology in the cards where we
have our own chips.
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So
hacking is not a major worry for you as far as India is concerned?
It's an ongoing concern and a risk issue. We look at every market
and we look at the risks. We advise our customers about the card replacement
policy. If an operation in India takes our services, we will obviously
give them an unconditional guarantee for a period of time.
Now
if you're successful, and you have millions of subscribers, the
pirates will come. So what NDS focuses on is having the best technology
and also giving advice to our customers and taking legal action
against pirates.
We
work on putting the pirate out of business. I think we used to be
behind them in the early days. Now we're ahead of them and the gap's
growing. Hathway for instance, has a unique version of Videoguard.
Every customer of NDS gets a unique version.
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Speaking
of Hathway, how are you working with the MSO to get the boxes moving?
What we are doing is helping Hathway educate consumers about the benefits
of this new digital service. I think that people can get stuck on
the word CAS because of all the negative connotations that have built
up around it.
I still
think that the average consumer, the guy who can't afford to pay,
will be better off. Even if they take some scheme where they're
paying a rupee per day, they still should up end up paying less
than Rs 150. And they'll have the advantages of DVD picture quality,
sound quality, EPG, and the ability to gain access to programmes
at a price they can afford. I
don't think that message is getting through.
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That's
a fact. It's been a badly marketed service.
The message is not getting through also because some of the smaller
operators haven't made the big investment. They are very fearful of
this because CAS steals their subscriber from them. So I think that
there are some other motivations there. |
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