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Should video streaming on the net take off, advertisers would not
hesitate to jump ship and the programming sources for the broadcasters
will slowly start to dry up. Content for the next generation will
be vastly different from that of the current generation of traditional
TV viewers the report has predicted.
Of the three methods of delivery, cable, satellite and terrestrial
broadcasting the report stated that while satellite is still the
most widely used, cable is quickly catching up. During this decade
cable is expected to play a far more significant role, and should
become another access technology in the converging markets of telecommunications,
broadcasting, Internet and e-commerce. On the other hand satellite
will be restricted to TV where its strength lies.
The report stated that terrestrial TV was still floundering in
outdated infrastructure and business models. There is no global
standard, and developments especially in the US are not too promising.
New technologies such as MHP are still several years away from large
scale commercial deployment.
As far as the US is concerned, the advent of digital technology
has not proved to be a saviour. This is because broadcasters are
protecting their existing investments, and the high cost of HDTV
is not seen by consumers as being worth the cost. As prices fall
and people need to replace their sets digital TV will progressively
replace analogue up to the mandated change-over dates.
Interactive TV initiatives date back to the late 1970s. However
nothing much has happened since, despite a short revival of the
idea around 1995 when the US industry was looking at video-on-demand
services. The major problem was the inadequate capacity of their
cable TV networks. However with the development of broadband around
the globe the scenario has been changing. In India, Reliance is
leading the charge in this arena with its promise of a Broadband
Bharat.
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