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Zeel's outlook for FY'13
 

Indiantelevision.com Team

(23 July 2012 11:56 pm)

MUMBAI: Zee Entertainment Enterprise Ltd (Zeel) expects the television industry to post advertising growth in the 7-9 per cent range this fiscal, weighed down by a slowdown in the economy.

Hiking ad rates has been tough and any growth the industry has been able to make has come from volume rise. Categories like telecom, auto and financial services have stayed mute in the fiscal-first quarter while FMCG and consumer durables continue to up spends.

Zeel's ad growth, however, has come from a mix of rate and volume increase. Market share expansion in viewership has eased Zeel's position, enabling it to up ad rates. The company expects to end the fiscal outperforming the industry.

In the fiscal-first quarter ended June, Zeel reported 18 per cent growth in advertising revenue to Rs 4.47 billion.

Zeel's ad growth estimate for FY'13 is higher than GroupM's new forecast of 5.6 per cent to Rs 148.12 billion for the television segment in the calendar year 2012. While the Telecom category cut down spends substantially in the first half of the year, financial services were adversely affected by poorer economic conditions. Even consumer durables spent less in the first half of 2012 than the prior year period.

GroupM, however, anticipates a bounce back in 2013 and predicts ad spend growth to climb 14 per cent that year.

Zeel's content expenses will rise in the fiscal as it plans to up its original hours of content from 25-26 to 32-34. The company will also continue to pour investments into new media.

Zeel's sports losses will continue but it will be much lower than the FY'12 loss of Rs 1.48 billion. The launch cost of the two channels - Ten Golf and Ten HD - was Rs 250-300 million. Since regulation requires HD channels to be completely ad free, Zeel has initiated talks with the government seeking permission to get this regulation removed.

Earlier, Zeel had guided sports losses to be at Rs 650 million-Rs 700 million for this fiscal. The company expects revenue from sports broadcasting to improve in FY'13.

Zeel will continue to invest in the southern market. The company sees an opportunity for market share improvement in Tamil, Telugu and Kannada. It estimates the Tamil ad market size to be Rs 15 billion.

International subscription revenue was up 16.5 per cent to Rs 1.14 billion for the first quarter of the fiscal. A weakening rupee has helped Zeel post growth in international subscription revenues despite the market suffering from multiple economic issues.

Zeel's gross debt is pegged at Rs 13 million while it is sitting on a cash pile of Rs 11.83 billion.

Also Read:

GroupM downgrades India's ad expenditure growth to 6.6% in 2012

 
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